NFL Playoffs 2007 Season - True Worth Studies

Mr. J.V. Presogna
Presogna Productions

www.go2jvp.com/

NFL Playoffs 2007 Season

Welcome to the True Worth Studies Capsule View of the 2007 NFL Playoffs.
The charts below represent the playoff teams, their strength of schedules,
and how they did against each portion of those schedules.

Explanation of the Charts

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2007 NFL Season Averages

	YP	DU	rDU	pDU	Pass	Rush
AFC 2007	24.61	179.96	91.67	88.29	35.7	3.122
NFC 2007	17.80	174.25	80.15	94.10	34.5	2.946
NFL 2007	21.21	177.10	85.91	91.19	35.1	3.034
Historical	15.00	170.00	85.00	85.00	30.00	2.500

AFC Playoff Teams
= Positive Relation

	Indianapolis	Jacksonville	New England	Pittsburgh	San Diego	Tennessee
YP in	22.95	21.27	20.45	21.90	23.14	24.05
YP out	12.61	16.46	11.83	10.02	9.41	11.16
DU in	173.53	174.36	178.48	189.22	183.21	181.72
DU out	245.97	243.63	317.10	201.43	196.20	155.04
rDU in	89.04	91.12	93.40	93.61	97.85	94.82
rDU out	94.57	140.90	102.76	114.98	114.15	100.39
pDU in	84.46	83.22	85.08	95.65	85.31	86.87
pDU out	151.40	102.73	214.35	86.46	82.05	54.65
Pass in	36.0	34.1	33.5	36.0	33.9	38.1
Pass out	26.9	27.4	31.1	36.1	26.6	28.7
Rush in	3.176	2.988	3.099	2.945	3.114	3.024
Rush out	2.679	2.752	2.860	2.387	2.936	2.467

NFC Playoff Teams
= Positive Relation

	Dallas	Green Bay	NY Giants	Seattle	Tampa Bay	Washington
YP in	20.36	16.30	22.57	15.50	18.60	24.06
YP out	15.98	12.92	14.48	10.03	9.63	14.08
DU in	175.79	178.84	178.97	182.94	184.82	168.66
DU out	246.19	247.66	186.41	197.99	193.87	172.38
rDU in	86.15	87.41	87.24	83.64	84.13	84.76
rDU out	96.95	83.17	119.97	73.20	98.56	82.87
pDU in	89.65	91.41	91.73	99.40	100.74	83.95
pDU out	149.24	164.49	66.43	124.79	95.31	89.51
Pass in	32.5	29.7	34.4	33.6	35.1	35.9
Pass out	25.5	31.4	34.0	24.4	27.7	27.8
Rush in	3.202	3.213	3.042	2.724	2.727	3.210
Rush out	2.503	2.669	2.495	2.669	2.734	2.272

Explanation of the Charts

The strength of schedule for any team depends on the matchups that the team confronts, and therefore there are six (6) basic strength of schedule marks. Keep in mind, it is not as important to view how tough each strength of schedule is, but rather to see how the team performed against that particular strength.

The star

in each portion of the charts denotes successful performance against the strength.

To define the portions, YP = "Total Offense," and DU = "Total Defense." These are the two most important strengths to review. The other portions denote the underpinnings of those two major portions, and they can show the team's vulnerabilities.

rDU = "Rush Defense," pDU = "Pass Defense," Pass = "Team Passing," and Rush = "Team Rushing."

Each team faces 16 opponents during a season, and therefore you can figure the "average opponent coming in." That "average opponent coming in" is the "in" portion of the chart. This means, the chart shows the six (6) strengths individually as they come in to play your team.

However, each opponent plays against your team face-to-face, and therefore this face-to-face can be calculated as the "actual opponent performance" against your team. The "out" portion of the chart denotes this actual performance.

Thus, you have success or failure, based on what the team gave up, as opposed to what came in.

For example, Pittsburgh was successful on YP and DU, which are the most important, but you can see that they had negative performance in two areas. Pittsburgh was -9.19 in pDU, which means the Pittsburgh Team Passing was not performing as well against these teams as the rest of the NFL. In other words, while the NFL was generally pushing the opposition 95.65 pDU, Pittsburgh was pushing them only 86.46 pDU, making a Negative Relation.

Likewise, Pittsburgh suffered on Pass Defense, but only marginally, where 36.0 came in, and 36.1 was the actual result. Therefore, the Pittsburgh Pass Defense allowed more than the rest of the NFL, but not much.

You can easily see where there are some outstanding performances with a Positive Relation, and some poorer ones. But, keep in mind that you must examine the strength of schedule upon which these results were cast.

In that light, Washington faced the most difficult schedule of any team in the playoffs overall. Their offense faced difficult defenses, and their defense faced difficult offenses.

In the end, it is the matchups that count, one team against the other. In the playoffs, a good set of matchups can mean the difference between winning and losing. If you are a poor team at defending the pass, you could have difficulty against a good passing team.