Welcome to the True Worth Studies Capsule View of the 2015 NCAA BCS Playoff.
The charts below represent the four teams involved.
True Worth does not predict wins and losses.
It tells you what each team must do to win.
YP = Total Offense, rPD = Relative Points per Drive, S% = Scoring Percent
DU = Total Defense, rDU = Rush Defense, pDU = Pass Defense
Pass = Team Passing Performance, Rush = Team Rushing Performance
Yield = What the Defense is Willing to Give Up
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This is the first year of the new NCAA BCS Playoff System. The playoff is set up
as follows: Alabama will meet Ohio State and Oregon will face Florida State.
OHIO STATE at ALABAMA: No Favorite
The calculation for this game, each offense against the other's defense, is a dead heat (53.91 YP for Alabama, and 52.28 YP for Ohio State). They split the matchups fairly well across the board, with each team gaining a slight advantage in a single category, balancing out. No point spread will be determined.
Ohio State 42 Alabama 35 (on 1/1/2015)
FLORIDA STATE at OREGON: Oregon +5 Favorite
The calculation for this game has Oregon on top (135.97 YP to 66.37 YP). Don't let this mislead you, however, because each defense will suffer since they are both above 200 DU in the setup. YP is not points or a point spread. It is a calculation of strength.
Oregon 59 Florida State 20 (on 1/1/2015)
OHIO STATE at OREGON: No Favorite
The calculation for this game is a dead heat (96.74 YP for Ohio State, and 96.78 YP for Oregon). With the rush defense for both teams about the same, the game will hinge on the passing game, even though Ohio State has a slight edge in running the ball with a perfect 10.000. Although the Ohio State pass defense is one of the best in the nation, the 2.388 rPD of Oregon is an extremely difficult opponent, as well as the 76.371% effectiveness. The special teams split as well, making this game as tight as it can be.
Ohio State 42 Oregon 20 (on 1/12/2015)
Ohio State is the new NCAA Football Champion